Thursday, August 10, 2006

Big Story: Three Incumbents Lose?

ON THE TRAIL: There's Something About August (08/09/2006):
". . .Consider the following headlines that could sum up Tuesday's results:

* 'Anti-war Sentiment Propels Upset Of Democrats' One-Time VP Nominee'
* 'Three Congressional Incumbents In Three States All Lose Primaries'

Which would you choose? More important, which will be more telling come November?

If you're a Republican, you better hope headline no. 1 is more meaningful in three months than headline no. 2. Hotline researchers are already on the case, but we can't find evidence of any primary night (in a non-redistricting year) producing three incumbent losses. And these losses were across the ideological and geographic spectrum. Each one individually can be explained away (moderate Joe Schwarz only won his first race because the conservative vote was split, not so this year; Cynthia McKinney is, well, Cynthia McKinney; and Joe Lieberman found himself on the wrong end of a divisive issue in the wrong year). . ."

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